MOGADISHU (HAN) December 6.2020. Public Diplomacy and Regional Stability Initiatives News. Monitoring Regional Issues. By Mohamed Mohamud Adde. There are dark clouds of civil war hanging over Somalia once again, if the International Community do not act quickly and hold accountable those people who are working on Somali political melt down. Somali people can NOT afford and will not allow the state affairs to continue as they are.
It is not a secret and reports are everywhere that people are arming themselves before our noses. Indications are grim and something ought be done in order to avert a bloody confrontation.
There are ample of evidence that the current admistration do not have the confidence of the bulk the people and regional states of this country including the government institutions. The executive failed to function as it ought to be, because of its constant interference into democratic processes stipulated in the draft constitution.
To explain the issue clearer, let me give you a bit of background on how Somalia got into this dangerous territory: It is well documented by human rights groups what had happed in South West local elections and blood path that followed. The government concealed its hand by distracting the world by asking the former UN envoy to leave the country.
The same policy was repeated in local Galmudud presidential election where many candidates had withdrawn from the race when there complaints had fallen into deaf ear. After election there, government used illegally its troops to enforce the election result. Unfortunately, many people lost their live and injured including government soldiers.
In Puntland local election, the region had been closed when officials there sensed the intention of the federal government. Election was held satisfactorily, despite of little hiccups here and there.
In Jubaland, the officials there followed suit the Puntland model and results were widely disputed. The commotion was led the federal government. But fact on the ground made everybody to eventually accept the result. Mind you, the government and Jubaland mistrust are deep and no resolution is insight.
(sources confided with me that violence is imminent in there if the talks between Gedo and Garbaharay regional elders and former politicians and Kenya government fail. They are planning their future after current Somali admistration within Jubaland State.)
Coming to Hirshabelle, the people Hiiraan district wanted a proper reconciliations to take place before Hirshabelle State presidential election. The government has ignored this suggestion and implemented its policy without the consent of people.
Hiiraan might have had a genuine complains but it never got the right attention to address there issues. The people in Hiiraan are firced to exercise there Constitutional right. It is wise to heed their demand as there will be no way out.
I left for the reader to reflect the dispute of the government and Somaliland unionist over the announced disputed electoral committee and other unspecified matters.
It is clear to all Somalis who is on the wrong side of the Somali political crises. All firgures point the current admistration. It has lost the plot and things are falling apart. It is time for the president and his team to be held accountable for underming Somali political process.
Hirshabelle meltdown is a clear sign of what to come, therefore, the International Community ought not to allow this country to slip into prolonged civil strife again. The end.
By Mohamed Mohamud Adde.
The author is an academic and an Independent Somali Political Analyst who is based in Mogadishu.